Chapter 1094 (1/2)
Indeed, the chances of black butterfly winning are very slim.
In the game of neurasthenia, the advantage of memory is the most intuitive advantage The black butterfly can't be compared with the blind.
However, there is another factor that can influence the outcome, that is Luck.
In that round just now, although Feng bujuehao scored 24 points, as he said, on the basis of his ”absolute memory”, such scoring is not too exaggerated in probability.
In addition to the 9 points that must be obtained, the remaining points can be regarded as the case of ”five of the six flops with gradually reduced probability have been successful”, and the ”gradually reduced probability” is reduced from about 20% to 7%, and then terminated.
So what he did in this round It can be attributed to the category of ”good luck”.
There is nothing special about this, so it's not ”gambling”, it's just ”game”, which is considered as ”boring” by Jue Ge.
In addition, when this round ended, his seemingly ”good” luck actually changed the wind direction
Because all the cards turned out by the last three hands are ”one suit has been revealed”; that is to say, when he finally changed his hand, the number of ”two known cards” on the table top increased from three to six.
Plus the number of unknown cards on the table has been reduced When the opponent goes to turn over the unknown card, the probability of turning over to the scoreable card is increased to more than 15% again.
…………
The eleventh round, the turn of black butterfly's turn.
After brother Jue cleaned the table, the number of known cards left is not much, so black butterfly is more confident about the colors of those cards.
In the first hand, she still opened a new card close to the known card according to her own rhythm.
As a result, this is a ”two-way known” card, that is, ”scoreable card.”.
Black Butterfly doesn't have the ability to ”remember clearly, but I can use it more slowly”. She will get points as soon as she has the chance to score.
So. She immediately went back to look for the other two new players And it worked.
”This lady has three points.” The referee's announcement came immediately, ”you can continue to flip.”
Next, the situation is still
Black Butterfly turned out another scoreable card and quickly converted it into points.
Next time. Still
In this way, the black butterfly equaled the score calmly, and Due to the decrease in the number of cards, it is also known that when there are only three pairs of cards, the probability of her turning to the scoreable card in the next hand is higher than 7%.
”Ah How is it? ” At this time. Black Butterfly smiled to Chueh Ge and said, ”I don't have no chance at all, do I?”
”Hum This gap in luck, as early as the beginning of the confrontation, I had psychological preparation ”In a word Before you reach that score, you can do as many as you like. ”
”That score?” The black butterfly hears the words, thinks for two seconds, and then says, ”Oh, you mean 33 points? ”
The black butterfly studied the rules of the game carefully before the duel, so she knew that 33 points was a very critical score.
According to the rules. After the two sides reveal the ”twenty-five phases”, players can turn out two pieces of ”blissful pure land” to end the game and enter the settlement stage.
Then, regardless of the outcome of the disparity, take the match where both sides have certain scores as an example Twenty five phases can be divided into twelve to thirteen, or eleven to fourteen.
In the case of 12 to 13, the score ratio is 36 to 39. At this time, the laggard side turns out to be blissful pure land, plus an additional 10 points. 46 to 39, you can turn defeat into victory.
In the case of eleven to fourteen, the score ratio is 33 to 42, at this time. The laggard side turned over the pure land of blissful Valley, with an additional 10 points, 43-42, and also turned defeat into victory.
That is to say, in this game, the underdog has fallen. If you want to flip, there is a prerequisite, that is to get at least ”eleven phase”, which can meet the minimum conditions of flip.
In theory, the most ideal situation is: the round of 24 phases has been revealed on the table, and it's the turn of the laggard party to turn over the card. At the moment when he turns over the 25th phase, he just holds 33 points in his hand, and then He / she opens the ”blissful pure land” and ends the game.
For the laggard side, this is the fastest and best turnover mode. If we continue to drag on I'm afraid that the score gap will be gradually opened, because when there are not many unknown cards left on the table, the probability of turning to the scoreable card will be greatly increased, and the probability of turning to two ”one-sided” cards in a row is not impossible. At that time, the one with stronger memory and fewer mistakes will surely stabilize the scoring rate of the opponent.
”Since you know.” The tone of the seal is still very relaxed. In any case, the opponent should know the meaning of the number. There is no need to marvel, ”please work in this direction.”
”Ah Needless to say, I will, too. ” After the black butterfly answers, continue to flip
…………
By the end of the 11th round, the score comparison between the two sides was 24-30, with black butterfly leading.