Part 7 (1/2)
Irrational or not, Google was a.s.sailed from many sides and compelled to play an unaccustomed role: defense. Nick Grouf, CEO of Spot Runner, an advertising/marketing agency that counted among its investors Martin Sorrell's WPP Group, believed Google was engaged in too many battles. He said that traditional media woke up to the Google threat not when the company did its IPO or was sued by book publishers, but when it bought YouTube. ”When you pay $1.6 billion for a site that is on the cover of every newspaper and magazine, and is the centerpiece of the zeitgeist as the future of media”-suddenly Google was widely perceived as a media company. By 2006 and into 2007, Grouf said, Google was battling with television and newspapers and book publishers and Microsoft and eBay and advertising agencies. ”It's hard to compete on all fronts. And people start to whisper: 'These guys have gargantuan ambitions.'”
IN NOVEMBER, the FTC held a two-day town hall meeting on privacy, a series of tame panel discussions that became more a seminar than an inquisition, disappointing Jeff Chester. The commission decided that the often-baffling issue of privacy would be excluded from the decision of whether to approve Google's acquisition of DoubleClick. The focus, instead, was on whether the marriage was anticompet.i.tive. It was difficult to argue that the merger harmed compet.i.tion when, within months, companies such as Microsoft and Yahoo and AOL and the WPP all acquired digital advertising companies of their own. The FTC prefers ”to wait for a violation before we act,” an agency official said on the eve of the approval of the merger. The EU did compel Google to make concessions and to tighten its privacy policies, but it, too, would approve the merger.
By mid 2007, Google was worried about the many restive bears it had provoked. It began to reach out to Was.h.i.+ngton. To allay privacy concerns, the company announced that it would reduce from two years to eighteen months the information it keeps in its database about the Web search histories of its users. Claiming that privacy laws were out of date, Google put out a press release proposing uniform international privacy rules and perhaps laws that recognized how the Internet and technology posed new privacy challenges. Instead of one ”uber cookie” that permanently tracks a user, Google said it was experimenting with ”crumbled cookies” that would disappear over time.
The public battles probably made Google's executives somewhat wiser. Google was only guilty, they believed, of naivete, not arrogance. ”The product brand was very strong,” said Alan Davidson, Google's senior director of government relations and public policy, who is a computer scientist as well as a lawyer and who oversees Google's Was.h.i.+ngton office. ”The political brand was very weak. Because we were not here to define it, it was being defined by our enemies.” He paused a moment, and added, ”Enemy ”Enemy is a strong word. It was being defined by our compet.i.tors.” Gigi Sohn, the president and cofounder of Public Knowledge, a nonprofit organization that lobbies for both an open Internet and more balanced copyright laws, said that like many Silicon Valley companies, Google chose to have a smaller presence in the nation's capital. But Google was more extreme, she said. ”They were almost alone among Silicon Valley companies in failing to recognize that you have to play in the sandbox. If you want progressive spectrum policies, the free market does not ensure that.” is a strong word. It was being defined by our compet.i.tors.” Gigi Sohn, the president and cofounder of Public Knowledge, a nonprofit organization that lobbies for both an open Internet and more balanced copyright laws, said that like many Silicon Valley companies, Google chose to have a smaller presence in the nation's capital. But Google was more extreme, she said. ”They were almost alone among Silicon Valley companies in failing to recognize that you have to play in the sandbox. If you want progressive spectrum policies, the free market does not ensure that.”
Google's one-man operation in Was.h.i.+ngton expanded in 2007 to include twenty-two staffers. Among them were Jane Horvath, a former senior privacy attorney in the Bush administration's Justice Department; Johanna Shelton, former senior counsel to Democrat John Dingell, then chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee; Robert Boorstin, a former speechwriter for President Bill Clinton; and Pablo Chavez, former chief counsel to Republican senator John McCain. To advance its Was.h.i.+ngton agenda, Google had established its own PAC (NETPAC), and soon hired three outside firms to lobby on its behalf: the mostly Democratic Podesta Group; King & Spalding, where Google relied on former Republican senators Connie Mack and Dan Coats; and Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, which had recently hired Makan Delrahim, a former deputy a.s.sistant attorney general who'd been in charge of the Ant.i.trust Division in the administration of George W Bush. ”We've been under the radar, if you will, with government and certain industries,” observed David Drummond, the Google senior vice president who oversees all of the company's legal affairs and policy interaction with governments. ”As we've grown, we're engaging a lot more.”
The most immediate concerns of Google's Was.h.i.+ngton office were the privacy issues raised by the acquisition of DoubleClick. By the end of 2007, Google was battling the image that it was the Microsoft of 2000. ”No question that people here regularly discuss Microsoft's experience and use that as a cautionary tale,” said Elliot Schrage, the vice president of global communications and public affairs. On the subject of Microsoft, Brin said, ”Microsoft is a bit of an unusual company. They don't seem to like any of us being successful in the technology s.p.a.ce.”
So Google sought to demonstrate that it was reaching out to media companies as well as to Was.h.i.+ngton. To preserve copyrights, YouTube announced that it was testing new antipiracy software to block unauthorized content from being uploaded and viewed. In an ec.u.menical spirit, the word partners.h.i.+p partners.h.i.+p was constantly invoked by Google executives. Repeatedly, they celebrated its ”more than 100,000 partners,” the more than three billion dollars it then distributed annually to Web sites and mostly small business partners in its AdSense program. As 2007 progressed, said General Electric's Beth Comstock, relations with Google thawed and by summer, G.E.'s NBC negotiated for Google to sell some of the network's remnant ads. ”In the end, I was less concerned that Google was out to replace our entire sales force,” she said. was constantly invoked by Google executives. Repeatedly, they celebrated its ”more than 100,000 partners,” the more than three billion dollars it then distributed annually to Web sites and mostly small business partners in its AdSense program. As 2007 progressed, said General Electric's Beth Comstock, relations with Google thawed and by summer, G.E.'s NBC negotiated for Google to sell some of the network's remnant ads. ”In the end, I was less concerned that Google was out to replace our entire sales force,” she said.
Google, however, was still clear-eyed about the inevitable gap between its engineers and traditional media. Google's engineering prowess would, inevitably, make the consumption of media and the selling of advertising more efficient, Larry Page told me one afternoon as we sat in the small, bare-walled conference room steps from his office. So was it inevitable, I asked, that ”Google would sometimes b.u.mp into traditional media?”
Without hesitation, he corrected me. ”I would say, always,” he said in his deep baritone, emitting a subdued chuckle. His was not a boast; rather, it was a candid recognition of reality. He believes Google's engineers can eradicate most inefficiencies if given the time and resources.
Page had reasons to feel confident. Google had a great year in 2007. Measured by growth, it was Google's best year, with revenues soaring 60 percent to $16.6 billion, with international revenues contributing nearly half the total, and with profits climbing to $4.2 billion. Google ended the year with 16,805 full-time employees, offices in twenty countries, and the search engine available in 117 languages. And the year had been a personally happy one for Page and Brin. Page married Lucy Southworth, a former model who earned her Ph.D. in bioinformatics in January 2009 from Stanford; they married seven months after Brin wed Anne Wojcicki.
But Sheryl Sandberg was worried. She had held a ranking job in the Clinton administration before, joining Google in 2001, where she supervised all online sales for AdWords and AdSense, and was regularly hailed by Fortune Fortune magazine as one of the fifty most powerful female executives in America. Sandberg came to believe Google's vice was the flip side of its virtue. ”We're an engineering company in that products come first,” she said. ”A lot of the reason we're winning is because our engineering is better.” Reminded that she once was quoted as saying Google made a mistake in not speaking to publishers and answering their questions before announcing plans to digitize all books, she added, ”Sometimes we make mistakes here because we move too quickly” magazine as one of the fifty most powerful female executives in America. Sandberg came to believe Google's vice was the flip side of its virtue. ”We're an engineering company in that products come first,” she said. ”A lot of the reason we're winning is because our engineering is better.” Reminded that she once was quoted as saying Google made a mistake in not speaking to publishers and answering their questions before announcing plans to digitize all books, she added, ”Sometimes we make mistakes here because we move too quickly”
Eric Schmidt would, inadvertently, prove her point. In August 2007, he piloted his Gulfstream G550 to Aspen, Colorado, to give the keynote speech at a dinner held by the free-market oriented Progress and Freedom Foundation. In the speech, he described four ”basic principles,” as he referred to them, that he believes are vital for media and tech companies to embrace: freedom of speech, universal broadband access, net neutrality, and transparency. Missing from his prepared remarks were thoughts about privacy and copyright-and how far Google might push the permissible boundaries. (When, for instance, does antic.i.p.ating a user's wants become an intrusion? When does fair use become copyright infringement?) A few weeks later, seated in his tiny conference room on the Mountain View campus, I discussed that speech with Schmidt. Why, I asked, didn't he mention privacy in his Aspen talk?
There was a long pause before he said, ”No particular reason. It's sort of a given. If we violate the privacy of our users, they'll leave us.”
And why no mention of copyright?
”Maybe it was the alt.i.tude! I was just chatting away.” Besides, he said, copyright ”was not an absolute right” and had to be balanced by fair use.
Isn't it true that Google wants to push the envelope on privacy and copyright?
”That's probably correct,” Schmidt conceded. ”If there's a legal case, we're going to favor the legal one that favors users.”
”Google, if it were a person, has all the flaws and all of the virtues of a cla.s.sic Silicon Valley geek,” said Columbia's Tim Wu, who between jobs teaching law worked for a spell in the Valley. ”In some ways, they are very principled.” He cited Google's 20 percent time, saying that few ”money-crazed companies would allow” such a thing. ”But they have this total deaf ear to certain types of issues. One of them is privacy.” Why? Because, he said, ”They just love that data because they can do neat things with it.”
CHAPTER ELEVEN.
Google Enters Adolescence (2007-2008).
For all its democratic ethos, its belief in ”the wisdom of crowds,” at Google the engineer is king, held above the crowd. The vaunted 20 percent time that is parceled out selectively by management to nonengineers is given universally to the half of Google employees who are technically trained. Salaries for engineers are relatively modest-a beginning engineer starts at around $100,000 (versus about $50,000 for nonengineers), and rises to about $300,000, including a bonus-but stock rewards are extravagant. Google rewarded its employees with $868.6 million in stock in 2007, a one-year increase of more than 90 percent.
The importance the company attaches to engineers is spotlighted by the time Google's founders and CEO Schmidt devote to meetings with them. Their Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday afternoons are crammed with Google Product Strategy (GPS) reviews. Teams made up mostly of engineers meet in a long, dimly lit, low-ceilinged conference room named Mar rakesh, on the second floor of Building 43, next to the office that Page and Brin share. Industrial gray carpet covers the floor and melts into the gray walls. A ma.s.sive, pale oak custom-made rectangular table stretches almost the full length of the room; at one end are billowy red-velvet couches, and at the other, large, flat LCD screens. Whiteboards line the walls. There are two projectors, so time is not wasted unloading and reloading projectors during multiple presentations, and all cables and wires are color coded to minimize time locating the right connections for laptops and other electronic devices.
Meetings last from fifteen minutes to two hours, and are scheduled one after another, like airport takeoffs and landings. ”If you want to talk to Larry or Sergey, you can at one of these meetings,” said Vice President Megan Smith. ”If you work at another company, can you get to the CEO within seven days? Probably not.” Often at these meetings, said Tim Armstrong, ”Larry is going to take one side of the argument and Sergey is going to take the exact opposite side, and what you're going to see is that everyone is going to argue in the middle and at some point it is going to be clear what the answer is.” This is a process that allows Page and Brin to learn, he said, ”who comes to the meeting prepared” and who has the pa.s.sion and guts to challenge them.
A meeting on October 9, 2007, did not quite follow this pattern. Brin and Page were to meet with an engineering team to review their proposal for an upgrade of AdWords 1.0. Since its introduction in early 2002, some parts of AdWords had been substantially upgraded while others had not. Small businesses complained that the system was too complicated. Larger customers, such as eBay or Amazon, complained that they wanted new features, including an ability to organize their accounts by products and to break out expenditures by country. To make these functions work, Google needed to enlarge its computers that retained data and enhance the speed of the advertising auctions. To demonstrate their commitment to a new architecture, the founders decided to skip 2.0 and christened this effort AdWords 3.0. The purpose of this session was to receive, and review, the new product teams' recommendations.
Everyone around the conference table sat on gray-mesh ergonomic swivel chairs. Page was wearing his usual jeans, and a gray T-s.h.i.+rt under a black sports jacket; he sat in the middle of the table, a coffee cup in hand. Brin arrived a few minutes late in jeans and a black crewneck sweater, and plopped in the seat beside Page. More nattily attired in a blue V-necked sweater over a light blue dress s.h.i.+rt and gray slacks, Schmidt sat at the head of the table with a translucent container of salad and a Diet c.o.ke. Schmidt opened the meeting by calling on the team leader, vice president of engineering Sridhar Ramaswamy, to describe the teams' recommendations.
The upgraded system they proposed, said Ramaswamy, would be less complicated for advertisers, would produce search results faster, and would be ”scalable” in that it would allow for the retention of more data. But, he cautioned, it was not quite the gut renovation that had been requested; it would be too expensive and require diverting too many engineers to both speed up AdWords, as Page had urged them to, and to make the sweeping computer changes needed to accommodate Page's database growth projections.
To a nonengineer, the hour-long discussion was often incomprehensible-”three-tier architecture,” ”middle-tier API,” ”UI tier,” ”end-to-end solutions,” ”no latency,” ”Java script bindings for third parties,” ”10 percent CTR,” ”SQL base.” But no translator was required to observe that Page and Brin were unhappy. At first, the founders were stonily silent, sliding lower in their chairs, and occasionally leaning over to whisper to each other. Intermittently, Page looked away from the engineers; Brin, appearing alternately distracted and irritated, would rise and stretch his legs on the empty chair beside his. Schmidt began with technical questions to the product team, but then he switched roles and tried to draw out Page and Brin, saying, ”Larry, say what's really bugging you.”
The room was quiet for perhaps ten seconds before Page responded. When he did, he scolded the engineers, saying they were not ambitious enough. Brin concurred, adding that the proposal was ”muddled” and un-Google-like in its caution. ”I named this 3.0 for a reason,” Page interjected. ”We wanted something big. Instead, you proposed something small. Why are you so resistant?”
The engineering team leader held his ground. Ramaswamy said that his entire team concurred that the founders' proposed changes would be too costly in money, time, and engineering manpower. Page countered that a significantly improved AdWords would make it easier for advertisers and result in greater revenues. ”You are polis.h.i.+ng up the program. I wanted to have a redesign.”
Schmidt stepped in to summarize their differences. He noted that Brin and Page were focused on the outcome, while the product team focused first on the process, and concluded that the engineering improvements would prove too ”disruptive” to achieve the goal.
Brin said that neither he nor Page wanted to add patches to the system, something Microsoft has been criticized for when they stuff more code into their already bloated operating system. ”I'm just worried that we designed the wrong thing,” Brin said. ”And you're telling me you're not designing the optimum system. I think that's a mistake.... I'm trying to give you permission to be bolder.”
Schmidt achieved a cease-fire by asking the product team to make its slide presentation. It demonstrated how the new product would actually work for advertisers, allowing them to manage their accounts. The discussion now went round and round with Schmidt finally stepping in to summarize the technical changes that would be made, the engineering challenges, the different approaches proposed by the team and by the founders. As he spoke, I kept wondering: When Terry Semel was CEO of Yahoo, or John Sculley CEO of Apple, could either of those nonengineers understand what their engineers were saying? Could they challenge them? (I would ask this question of Semel, who said the Yahoo founders, Jerry Yang and David Filo, both engineers, often accompanied him to similar meetings. Besides, he said, ”I'd make people describe things in Englis.h.!.+”) Semel brought good judgment and people skills to Yahoo when he arrived in 2000, but the question begs to be asked: Did Yahoo slip technologically because the CEO could not wrap his brain around the technology? Was that why Apple slipped technologically after Steve Jobs had been fired? (While Jobs does not possess an engineering degree, he seems not to need a translator.) Schmidt, sensing that a resolution was not possible at this Google meeting, told the product team to report back with a detailed design ”which is responsive to Larry and Sergey's criticism,” one that laid out ”what it takes to build a good product,” and what it would cost in time and money. He took care to balance this rebuke with praise: ”But this is very well done. I love it when people show me the flaws in our products.”
Neither founder was happy after the meeting. ”I hope they try to do something a little more ambitious,” Brin said two days later. He compared the project to renovating a house. ”Once you get into it, you know it's going to take some time and effort, so you may as well do as good a job as you can. We prefer not to do too many small things when we know where we'd like to get to.” Page was disappointed in what he described as the engineering team's ”self-imposed, bureaucratic response.” He sounded harsh, and a few seconds later he softened his words: ”It's hard when you're so focused to see the big picture. It's sort of easy for us. We just say, 'If you're going to make changes at that rate, we're going to go out of business. It's just not OK. It's all of our revenue. We're obviously doing some things wrong. We need some sort of reasonable plan to fix these things in our lifetime. Our lifetime means years, not multiple years.'” Ultimately, Ramaswamy and his team came back with an AdWords 3.0 proposal that went more than halfway toward the one proposed by the founders; Google has been rolling out the new system in stages.
THE MEETING DEMONSTRATED that the ethos that had launched the Google rocket-to shoot for the moon, not the tops of trees-was intact, no matter how much the company had grown. Page and Brin's pa.s.sion for technology was apparent, as was the way they push engineers to act boldly. At meetings they feed off each other, punis.h.i.+ng engineers and product managers who think they have devised a ”new” solution when, the founders say, they have merely devised a ”cute” solution, not a fundamental one. Or as Schmidt said, ”They think about what should be, and they a.s.sume it is possible.”
Page describes his and Brin's role as supplying the ”big picture,” and by way of ill.u.s.trating what he sees as a management rather than a technological innovation, he cites the work of Gordon Moore at Intel and his Moore's law. ”People think it's this wild statement about how the universe is, but it's actually a management innovation. Moore's law was a statement saying, 'We're going to double the performance [of integrated circuits or computer chips] every eighteen months, and let's get organized to do it.' They spent billions of dollars doing that. If you didn't have Moore's law, you wouldn't have that advancement. It's actually causal in another way.” The management pressure to double performance helps a.s.sure it.
IN SPITE OF GOOGLE'S RAPID GROWTH, or because of it, by 2007 the company had become a target for lawsuits and sneers. Leading the chorus was Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer. In 2007, he had labeled Google ”a one-trick pony,” and had derided the company at nearly every public opportunity since, telling reporters, ”they have one product that makes all their money, and it hasn't changed in five years.... Search makes ninety-eight percent of all their money.” Irwin Gotlieb, who is not in Ballmer's adversarial camp, nevertheless shared the view that Google's attempt to broaden its reach had been a failure. ”Google is extremely good with search,” he said. ”They are good with AdSense. They are not as good with display advertising. I believe they've lost a fortune on selling radio ads, they've lost a fortune on selling print ads, and they are now losing a fortune on selling television ads.” Tad Smith, the CEO of Reed Business Information, which produces eighty publications and Web sites, asked, ”Where is the new pony? Apple came up with a new pony, the iPod and iPhone. Microsoft came up with Office. Google is throwing a lot of things against the wall, and so far only one has stuck to the wall. And Google's search growth will slow.”
Eric Schmidt had a ready rejoinder to Ballmer: ”I like the trick!” And justifiably so: the trick yielded more than sixteen billion dollars in revenues and four billion dollars in profit in 2007. Schmidt went on, ”The Google model is one-trick to the extent that you believe targeted advertising is one-trick.” Google now had about 150 products available, and he believed the other efforts-You Tube; DoubleClick; mobile phone products; cloud computing; selling TV, radio, and newspaper ads-could sell targeted advertising. Yet with almost all of its revenues pumping from only one of 150 wells, the question-can Google find another gusher?-was ”a legitimate question,” as top Google executives like Elliot Schrage conceded at the time.
At the start of 2008 there was evidence that the gusher was tapering off. Search advertising was slowing. In January and February, comScore, a research firm that tracks online activity, reported that Google searchers were clicking on fewer text ads. Wall Street a.n.a.lysts predicted Google's revenue rise would stall, and the stock price dropped; from its pinnacle of $742 on November 6, 2007, it had plunged 40 percent by March 2008. The press, l.u.s.ting for a new narrative, fixed on this one: the Google rocket was cras.h.i.+ng. ”Goodbye, Google,” read the headline in Forbes.com. Reporters buzzed, incessantly, about dire days ahead. Google was spinning them, they believed, when people like Tim Armstrong explained that the company was trying to make the ads ”more relevant” and had deliberately reduced the number of ads appearing with search results to reduce clutter and produce better information. Google said clicks without purchases meant the ads were not useful to the user, so they were eliminated. Reporters were deeply skeptical when chief economist Hal Varian in early 2008 cautioned, ”The clicks are not what is relevant. The revenue is.” Reporters buzzed, incessantly, about dire days ahead. Google was spinning them, they believed, when people like Tim Armstrong explained that the company was trying to make the ads ”more relevant” and had deliberately reduced the number of ads appearing with search results to reduce clutter and produce better information. Google said clicks without purchases meant the ads were not useful to the user, so they were eliminated. Reporters were deeply skeptical when chief economist Hal Varian in early 2008 cautioned, ”The clicks are not what is relevant. The revenue is.”
But events would demonstrate that the press and Wall Street a.n.a.lysts are often handicapped by two imperatives: don't be late with bad news, and don't be the lone blackbird left on the pole. In April 2008, when the company released its first-quarter results, the narrative changed. Google's revenues had surged 42 percent compared to the first quarter of 2007; its profits had jumped 30 percent, and as Varian had suggested, its ad clicks had risen 20 percent. ”Google Inc's Go-Go Era Apparently Isn't Over,” said a report in the Wall Street Journal. Wall Street Journal. The The Times Times headline was: ”Google Defies the Economy and Reports a Profit Surge.” As the report showed, Google hogged three quarters of all U.S. search advertising dollars, compared to only 5 percent for Steve Ballmer's Microsoft. headline was: ”Google Defies the Economy and Reports a Profit Surge.” As the report showed, Google hogged three quarters of all U.S. search advertising dollars, compared to only 5 percent for Steve Ballmer's Microsoft.
Yet Ballmer had a point. Google had not figured out how to make money on its surfeit of products. YouTube accounted for one of every three videos viewed online, three billion of the nine billion viewed in January 2008. The impact of this new medium would forever change the way politics are conducted. Seven of the sixteen candidates who ran for president in 2008 announced their candidacies on YouTube, and more people saw a taped version of the July 2007 Democratic presidential debate there than live on CNN. YouTube succeeded in democratizing information. It became a viral hub where a candidate's flubs or fibs were exposed by a video. When Mitt Romney became a born-again crusader against abortion, videos were posted of the former governor of Ma.s.sachusetts championing a woman's right to an abortion. Overseas, when Venezuelan strongman Hugo Chavez shut down El Observador, El Observador, an opposition newspaper, it began broadcasting on YouTube. an opposition newspaper, it began broadcasting on YouTube.
However, YouTube made no money. Its bandwidth and computer costs were steep, and it paid for some of its content. Three senior Google executives with knowledge of these figures said at the time that YouTube would lose money in 2008, and these losses would grow in 2009, with revenues initially projected at about $250 million and losses totaling about $500 million. There were those, like Gotlieb, who believed ”they'll never make money on YouTube.” He thought online display ads would annoy viewers, and that most advertisers sought predictably ad-friendly settings for their ads, something a site dominated by user-generated content could not ensure. Like many Valley start-up founders, Chad Hurley and Steve Chen believed, as Google's did when they launched, that if they first built traffic, money would follow. By February 2008, Schmidt said he had summoned teams from YouTube and Google to ”start working on monetizing it.”
”You didn't tell us to work on it,” a surprised Hurley said, recalled Schmidt.
”Well, times have changed,” said Schmidt.