Chapter 880： Diplomatic relations that cannot stand the test (2/2)

The impact of the Anglo-Russian War on the European economy is not as great as we had expected. In particular, the demand for materials is much less than what we planned.

For the time being, the Britons can rely on domestic production. The Russians have insufficient imports, and the Ministry of Economic Analysis has two main reasons:

First, the tsarist government prepared for the war ahead of time, and many materials were purchased before the war. Our export trade list last year can prove this;

Second, the consumption of supplies on the battlefield in Afghanistan is much smaller than we expected.

I have consulted the General Staff. The reduction of Russian military material consumption is on the one hand limited by the terrain of Afghanistan, which is not conducive to the deployment of heavy weapons; on the other hand, the British army is too incompetent and there is no evenly matched war. ”

This answer leaves Franz with nothing to say. The intensity of the war is not enough, and the consumption of materials is naturally not high.

Originally consumed the highest amount of grain, but the Russians are not short of it and do not need to import it at all. The British can raise money from India, and they can't transport it from Europe.

After receiving the news of the outbreak of the Anglo-Russian War, all European capitalists have opened their hands to expand production capacity in an attempt to make a fortune.

But because of the increase in production capacity, the strategic materials imported by the two major belligerent countries failed to keep up with expectations, which is a tragedy.

In the era of free trade, no matter it is a commodity, once the supply exceeds demand in the market, the price decline becomes inevitable.

If the Anglo-Russian war continued, the market confidence would not collapse, and the situation would be even more serious.

After a sigh, Franz reluctantly said, ”For the time being, a new round of economic crisis is coming soon.

The capitalists imagined that the Anglo-Russian war was more magnificent than the Russian-Russian war, and all of them ran to make a fortune.

The current situation is very obvious. No matter how the British-Russian War is expanded, it is impossible to have a battle between millions of troops.

If the current situation is not changed, I am afraid that this British-Russian war will be the fuse for excess capacity in European countries. ”

Every time overcapacity is a mistake made by capitalists on market expectations. If it is a smart person, there is still a chance to cut the meat and stop the loss. If it continues until the end of the Anglo-Russian War, it will really be over.

Knowing to know, Franz didn't mean to interfere. This is a thankless thing, and there will be no gains other than pulling hatred and scorn.

Foreign Minister Weisenberg: ”Overcapacity is only a small problem, it is nothing more than an industrial reshuffle, and the bite is gone.

The trouble is that in the recent period of time, the three countries of Britain, France, and Russia have been making small moves. In particular, the British are constantly creating friction between us and the French.

Just once or twice. If there are more times, our relationship with the French can't stand this test.

Especially not long ago, the British government also very vaguely stated that as long as we give up support for the Russians, they will support our reunification of the German region.

If nothing goes wrong, the British have made similar promises to the French, and may even promise more. ”

Don't talk about Austrian relations anymore. The relationship between any two countries can't stand the long struggle.

Knowing that this is a conspiracy of the British, but these contradictions exist in France and Austria, and they are still unsolvable.

No matter how the French and Austrian governments suppress it, there will be pimples in their hearts. Over time, these contradictions will always break out.

Prime Minister Carl shook his head: ”The core of the problem is not on our side, the key depends on what the French think.

If the French can't stand the temptation and accept the British proposal, then the European War is inevitable. ”

In accordance with the original plan, it was only a matter of time before the Austrian unification of the German region was carried out step by step. The Vienna government can naturally restrain its desires without risking.

Changing to France is different. The China-EU strategy has already related to the question of whether France can go further.

If it is impossible to expand to Central Europe, it is now the peak era of France, and then it can only go downhill.

In fact, France has already begun to go downhill. Looking at the world, France has the highest international status and the strongest horizontal comparison strength between 1870 and 1881.

With a gunshot of the Paris Revolution, France was seriously injured again, but now it has just recovered.

Compared with Yingao, France directly wasted eight years. If the energy problem cannot be solved for a long time, the future situation will be even worse.

In this context, if the French government is not willing to fall, it is only a matter of time to choose to let go.

Franz frowned, and said slowly: ”This situation has to be considered, and we have to speed up the preparation of the battle, lest something should happen to us by surprise.

Strengthen the monitoring of the French government and report any signs of war preparations immediately. ”

The preparations for war in Austria have already begun, but for the sake of confidentiality, the movement has been very small.

After all, it is not a good time for a decisive battle. Austria has not yet reached its limit, and its national strength is still growing rapidly.

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