Chapter 877： Mutual calculation (two in one) (2/2)

What do you think is the real purpose of France and Austria? What kind of interest is enough for them to send us such a big bargain? ”

Suspicion is the instinct of the ruler. The methods of France and Austria are not clever. The trace of intentionally provoking the Anglo-Russian war is too obvious.

Knowing that there was a conspiracy in it, the Russian empire might have become a chess piece, but in the interest of interest, Alexander III chose to jump pits.

There is no way. The current international situation is very clear. The road to the west of the Russian Empire has been blocked.

There is a lesson from the Russian-Russian war that even the most radical main battle groups do not think that there is a future of expansion to the European continent.

All that remains is to go north, south, or east. There is no doubt that there is no future for going north. In addition to ice cubes or ice cubes, the only Nordic federation is a hard bone.

Dongjin is not a good choice, the climate is too bad. The light journey from the west to the east takes only a year, and it is simply not suitable for military operations.

Going south has become the only and best option. Although it is necessary to compete with the British, but why not compete this year?

Even as a chess piece, Alexander III has to be a chess piece that can jump out of the board at any time, instead of being confused and abandoned.

Foreign Minister Oscar Jimenez: ”From the perspective of the current international situation, France and Austria support us in fighting against the British. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs believes that there are three main possibilities.

First, let us work hard with the British and consume our strength, France and Austria can enjoy the wealth of war.

Judging from the current strength of the two countries' support for us, the suspicion of making war money can be ruled out, and the funds they provide to us can't recover the cost of the trade.

Second, use us to reinvent Britain, and then divide Britain.

This possibility is even smaller. Although the French repeatedly promised that they would choose an appropriate time to fight the British, they asked Austria to declare war on the British first.

We have tried it, and the Vienna government is not ready to turn the face with the British, let alone fight with the British.

Third, France and Austria want to use the Afghan war to hold us and the British down so that they can take action on the European continent.

The specific action is temporarily uncertain. Judging from the performance of France and Austria, we can judge that the French government is more eager. The Austrian government is relatively indifferent and they seem to have not made up their minds.

Based on this, we can initially judge that France and Austria have not reached an agreement, and even the strategic goals of the two countries may conflict.

I personally think that the goal of France and Austria should be Central Europe.

Austria wants to take advantage of the opportunity to reunify the German region, but they have no confidence in their hearts, they are not sure to complete the reunification under the hindrance of the French, and they are not willing to give up this opportunity.

The French attempted to use this opportunity to expand into Central Europe. The goal should be to annex parts of Belgium and the German Confederation.

It is mainly the territory west of the Rhine, where there are coal mines that the French need most, which can make up for their shortcomings in resources.

Of course, this is just speculation, the appetite of the French government may not be so big.

After all, the strength of the German Confederation is not weak, and Austria is on the side, and will definitely send troops to interfere. In terms of strength, the French have a low chance of winning the German-Austrian coalition.

Unless the French can make a quick decision and rush to Austria before sending troops, it will cause the established facts of occupying the above-mentioned territories and block the German-Austrian allied forces with the Rhine River. ”

The strategic plan can be hidden without wanting to hide. No evidence is needed, as long as there is motivation. There is no doubt that both France and Austria have the motivation to expand to Central Europe.

While launching a war against the British, the tsarist government did not ignore the concern for the European continent.

In fact, the Tsarist government would not dare to go south if the French and Austrian countries on the European continent contain each other.

The Minister of the Army Ivanov shook his head: ”I agree with your judgment, the third case is the most likely.

However, I have different views on the specifics. Both France and Austria are interested in China, but the strength of the German Federation is not weak.

If Austria wants to annex the German Confederation, it can use political means to start from within, and there is a possibility of success.

If the French attacked the German Confederation, even if Austria did not send troops to intervene, they would bounce a few teeth.

This point cannot be overlooked by the French government. Instead of taking risks without certainty, it is better to retreat and annex Belgium. ”

Because of the relationship between the Russian-Russian war, the tsarist government's assessment of the fighting power of the German state has all raised the level.

Simply looking at the paper, the current strength of the German Federation is not weak.

The military strength is similar to that of the former Poppo Federation. The total economic volume is second only to the four countries of Britain, France, Russia and Austria. The heavy industry and France are the same, and the population is more than 25 million.

With his own people, Marshal Ivanov did not think that the French would eat this hard bone, especially a lion ready to hunt behind this bone.

In contrast, the difficulty of annexing Belgium is much lower. Everyone knows about the Biome and about the annexation of Belgium on the bright side would offend the British.

But as far as the relationship between Britain and France is concerned, offending also offends. Even the issue of issuing war bonds to the Russians has been done, and there is nothing the French dare not do.

Foreign Secretary Oscar Jimenez shrugged: ”Marshal, the French are not as sensible as you. They have always claimed themselves as the world's first army.

You have not been to France, you may not know that the French are particularly arrogant. Since Napoleon III, the French government has been proclaiming the French theory of invincibility.

Many French people still have the concept of Napoleon and think they are invincible. Even if we have defeated them in the Near East War, it has not changed all that. ”

The War of the Near East cannot be counted. The three countries of Britain, France, and Russia all claim to be victors. The only thing that admits that they are losers is the Ottoman Empire, which has disappeared in the long history.

Oscar Jimenez can talk about the Near East War, but Marshal Ivanov has no face to mention the Near East War.

Although the Russian army did win a strategic victory, it lost tactically. The so-called victory is entirely based on human life.

The battle loss ratio of the Russian army cannot be seen at all. In many cases, the Russian army doubled its strength and was beaten on the ground by others.

To the orthodox soldiers like Marshal Ivanov, it was not a victory for the Russian army, but a shame.

Sensing that the atmosphere was wrong, Alexander III said: ”Well, the size of the French appetite is just a small problem.

Although I do n’t want to admit it, the balance of power among the four major European powers has really been broken in recent years. We are the weakest.

The strength of the three countries of Britain, France and Austria is above us. We can now compete with the British for the Afghan region, which is also the result of the support of France and Austria.

However, France and Austria can provoke our war with the British to take advantage of the fishermen, how can we not follow suit?

The issue of China and Europe is the core contradiction between France and Austria. Whether Austria wants to unify the German region or France wants to enter China and Europe eastward, as long as one of the parties takes the first step, a fierce conflict will erupt.

Now that we are at war with the British, France and Austria have no worries. If we push one from the back, they are very likely to have a war.

As long as the war is used to injure both France and Austria, we will have the opportunity to re-establish our dominant position on the European continent. ”

Anyone can join teammates, France and Austria can use the Russian Empire as chess pieces, and Alexander III can also fight back.

Britain and Russia have fought, and the two countries will definitely suffer heavy losses after the war. If the strength of France and Austria is not consumed, the strength gap between the four major powers will be completely opened.

Foreign Minister Oscar Jimenez reminded: ”Your Majesty, once the war between France and Austria broke out, we lost foreign aid.

Without the support of France and Austria, and with our own strength, the battlefield in Afghanistan may be ... ”

Alexander III interrupted: ”Don't worry, provoking the French-Austrian War is not going to happen overnight.

Even if action is to be taken, that is when the battlefield in Afghanistan is about to settle. Until then, we are all good allies.

What we have to do now is to get loans and materials from France and Austria as much as possible. If they want us to sell our lives, we must take advantage of them. ”

After listening to this explanation, everyone was relieved. It does not matter to provoke the French-Austrian War, as long as it does not affect the battlefield in Afghanistan.

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