Chapter 654： Austrian threat theory (1/2)
After William I's trip to London, the international situation became more and more prosperous. The British-Prussian relationship has heated up, and Russia and Austria, which have just ended their alliance, have once again leaned together, and it is in the hands of the French to decide the future of European situation.
If the Paris government supports the Russians, the outcome of this war will be decided in advance. Conversely, if you support the Commonwealth, you will not know until this war has been fought.
At Versailles, Napoleon IV was very satisfied with the situation. The feeling that Russia and Russia are rushing to win over France is such a wonderful feeling that influences the future direction of Europe.
Foreign Minister Dumbledore: ”His Majesty, the Russian delegation suddenly changed its itinerary and cancelled its trip to London. It is expected to arrive in Paris in three days.”
Napoleon IV smiled slightly. He knew that the Tsarist government was in a hurry. Comprehensive national strength The Russian Empire is better than the Popo Federation, but war is not only about comprehensive national strength but also external forces.
The Popo Federation has already won the support of the British, and if it gets the support of the French, even if Russia has the support of Austria, it will still suffer.
The harsh reality tells the Russians that no money is absolutely impossible. In terms of financial resources, the British and French masters combined will definitely provide more funds than Austria.
To put it plainly, this war is a war of the Russians, not a war of Austria. The Vienna government can support them, but it is impossible to invest indefinitely.
Unless the war can be ended in the short term, the last thing to fight is financial resources. With the lessons of the last war, the tsarist government has no illusions of quick victory.
Napoleon IV shook his head: ”It's only now that the Russians are not stupid!”
The Russian ambassador arrived before William I's visit to Paris. On the surface, it was certainly not too late. But Napoleon IV made a late claim.
Once France and Russia had the opportunity to move closer to each other. Unfortunately, neither side cherished it. This is a problem left over from history. The contradictions between the two countries brought about by the anti-French war have been magnified again in the Near East War.
Napoleon III wanted to ease the French-Russian relationship for a time, but was blocked by Britain and Austria, and ended in failure.
After the sale of the Puddese territory, France and Russia lost their joint hub of interest, and the last chance of alliance was shattered.
There is no regret medicine in this world. As the international situation changes, France no longer needs to ally with the Russians.
The young Napoleon IV was also ambitious and wanted to surpass his father and build greater achievements.
Therefore, France only needs little brothers, not competitors.
The Russian Empire could not put down the shelf and be a younger brother. Even if Alexander II was able to lie down, the Russian people would not agree.
Minister of Foreign Affairs Dumbledore waved his hand: ”It is not surprising that Russian diplomacy has always been more casual.
From the beginning of the alliance between Nicholas I and Austria that year, to the pro-Pushau strategy implemented by Alexander II after the throne, to the subsequent turn of Russia and Russia, and the collapse of the Russian-Australian alliance.
The diplomatic strategy of the Tsarist government has been greatly influenced by personal will. Not only is there no long-term planning, it also changes frequently, and even contradicts itself. ”
Seemingly aware of it, Dumbledore's decisive choice stopped. The foreign policy of the Tsarist government is chaotic, and the foreign policy of the French government is actually not much better.
Among the major European powers, the best continuation of foreign policy is between Britain and Austria. The European and British policy of continental balance has continued since the end of the anti-French war to the present.
Although there have been changes in the middle, the general direction has never changed. The current European political landscape is the product of the British-Austrian ”European Continental Balance” policy.
Napoleon IV nodded his head: ”Forget it, this is also a good thing. The Russians came, so I could negotiate the price with the Popo Federation.
The European continent is too small to accommodate so many large countries. One Austria, one England is enough for us, and the fourth pole can no longer appear. ”
The cake is so big, Sanjiafen can't satisfy everyone's appetite. If you want to share another cake, no one will welcome it.
On the issue of suppressing the rise of the latecomers, the positions of the three countries: Britain, France and Austria can be said to be the same. Whether it is to support the Popo Federation or the Russian Empire, there is a prerequisite-they must not be allowed to grow.
The three countries of Britain, France, Austria and Austria are divided into two waves this time. It seems to be because of interests. In fact, everyone has reached a tacit understanding long ago: no one in the two countries can easily win the war.
In this round of diplomatic competition, the Russians lost from the beginning. No matter how hard the Tsarist government works, it is impossible to get more support.
Foreign Minister Dumbledore: ”His Majesty, the news came from London that William I was seeking an alliance of great powers, and the British had explicitly rejected them.
If nothing else, William I would seek to ally with us. This issue is very important and we must be cautious. ”
The ”France-France alliance”, if it was two or three decades ago, the French government would have had an ally to share the pressure. Even a dozen years ago, the French government would not hesitate to agree.
It's different now. Regardless of the alliance between Britain, France, Austria and Austria, let alone France, there is also a Spanish ally, and the demand for allies is no longer so hungry.
Napoleon IV sneered: ”There is nothing to consider. The Federation of Popo wants to ally with us, and then they must defeat the Russians. If they lose the war, what qualifications are there to ally with us?”
Now that the French and the French are allied, what benefits can the French government get in addition to its obligations?
Even if the Pope Commonwealth wins, Napoleon IV must weigh the advantages and disadvantages of the Franco-Prussian alliance. At least the attitudes of Britain and Austria have to consider.
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The grand welcoming ceremony was over, and the crown prince of Alexandrovich (Alexandr III), who visited Paris again, showed deep sadness on his face.
The seemingly grand welcoming ceremony was mixed with a strong sense of alienation. There is no doubt that the people of Paris do not welcome them.
If it wasn't for the Bonaparte family who wanted to integrate into the European royal circle, they attached great importance to etiquette, and I'm afraid the face projects were too lazy to do.