Chapter 227: On the necessity of buffering (1/2)
Berlin
The Austrian act of fanfare had no meaning at all, and the Prussian government naturally received the news.
Frederick-William IV was still hesitant to join the interference coalition, and now he does not have to consider it. No longer wanted to deal with it, before the coalition was established, the Kingdom of Prussia would become history.
Foreign Minister Andrea analyzed: ”His Majesty, Austria is intimidating us. It is not good for them to divide us among the three countries. Once we are finished, Austria in the middle of France and Russia will be embarrassed.
The share of the gains they can make is absolutely impossible than the annexation of South Germany, and they pay a lot more. ”
This is inevitable. The Prussian and French-Russian forces that can be divided between Prussia and Russia are limited. The Russians can also send 200,000 troops, and the French will take out more than 100,000 troops. The task of main attack must fall on Austria on.
The military strength of the Kingdom of Prussia is not weak. At the juncture of life and death, it is entirely possible for an army of five to six million to erupt.
If this is done together, even if the three nations can't do it together, when they die, it will be no problem to break a few teeth in Austria.
After paying such a large price, the gains after the war will be divided by half between France and Russia. Without the Prussian kingdom of Poland and the Rhineland, the value is not comparable to the South German region that Austria has now acquired.
In addition, the rule is much more difficult. The Junker aristocrats will not buy Austrian accounts, but the local people in South Germany are welcoming the king.
Frederick-William IV said with grief and indignation: ”Theoretically it is correct, but this threat still exists. Austria dared to do so obviously. It is clear that we dare not take risks.”
Where is the risk? It is clearly suicide. As long as Austria fully attacks Prussia, Russia and France will surely take advantage of the fire.
Will Austria do this? No one knows this answer. But Frederick-William IV can be sure that this is Austria's easiest way to break the game.
Joseph von Radovitz thought about it and said, ”Sir, we can throw this problem over to the British. If they cannot guarantee our safety, then we will not participate in the nine-nation interference in the coalition forces.
The Austrians also need us to contain the French. If we are finished, they will face the French threat. As long as we quit now, they will stop. ”
This multiple-choice question is very easy to do. The Prussian government joined the interference army for the benefit, and it can also withdraw for the benefit.
The nine-nation coalition seems very powerful, but in fact the main forces in it are only France and Prussia, and the rest of the country are made up. As long as any one of the French lawmakers persuaded, the British plan went bankrupt.
Andrea shook his head and said, ”Prime Minister, I am afraid that the British cannot solve this problem. They can persuade the French, but they cannot persuade the Russians.
According to Austria's plan, before the coalition organization was completed, we were at war, and the British were unable to rescue us.
The only people who can help us are the French, but for their own benefit, I am afraid that the French are waiting for us to fail and then annexing our territory west of the Rhine is more likely.
At this time, we cannot put hope on the British. It has long been proven that their commitment is unreliable most of the time.
If sufficient benefits cannot be obtained from the intervention army, it is also a good choice to join forces with Austria to divide up the German region.
The big deal is to join the Russo-Austrian alliance, rebuild the Nordic three-court system, and jointly dominate the European continent, and Britain and France simply cannot prevent it. ”
Frederick-William IV hesitated. The Austrian annexation of the South German region caused everyone's fear, but the direct loss of interest to all countries was not large. The biggest loss of interest among the powers should be Prussia, and the market became smaller.
Prussia's annexation of the North German region is not the same. It is only a minor problem to hit the British. The biggest trouble is to break the financial path of British capitalists.
Historically, Prussia annexed the North German region, but after joining the free trade system, the industry of the Kingdom of Prussia had already developed a lot and was not afraid of British competition.
It's different now. If the Prussian government dared to join the free trade system during this period, the national industry in China would be dead.
There is no way. In this era, the Kingdom of Prussia did not have a pillar industry with strong competitiveness. The industry relied entirely on the cottage British, or the whole world was in the cottage British.
The Prussian government stands on the opposite side of Austria. One of the reasons is that after Austria controls the South German region, it will raise import tariffs on Prussian goods and use administrative methods to squeeze them out of the market.
This is not possible, but it is certain to happen. For the industrialized Kingdom of Prussia, not having enough markets means what goes without saying.
On the issue of North Germany, it is impossible for the London government to make concessions. Otherwise, Prime Minister George will step down in advance, or he will have to attach a ticket to heaven.
This is one of the reasons why the British want a three-point German. The interests of domestic capitalists have prompted the London government to act.
As for the fact that the British have many colonies and large markets, that is nonsense. Most colonial markets were not developed in this era, and the main market is still in continental Europe.
The risk of ocean trade is much greater than the trade at the doorstep. Besides, which capitalist would dislike to make more money?
In contrast, South Germany is different. Bavaria is the textile center of the German region. In this era, the biggest export products of the British were textiles. The London government let the Kingdom of Bavaria and Austria leave, and it did not mean to exclude competitors.
International politics in the mid-nineteenth century has not only stayed in politics and military affairs, but the proportion of economic influence has also become larger and larger, especially in a country with a strong capital like Britain.
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Austria's counterattack was both unexpected and unexpected. The London government also thought that Austria would intimidate and lure the Prussian government, but did not expect the Vienna government to directly enlarge its tactics.
The effect of the big move is naturally very powerful, and the Prussian government has euphemistically stated that it is afraid to play.
The reality tells the British that sometimes it is not possible to fully look at national interests, and the personal interests of high-level governments can also determine national politics.
Having determined Napoleon III's position, the Austrians seized the loopholes of the coalition forces and could counterattack unscrupulously.