Volume I Part 35 (2/2)
_To Edward M. House_ December 12th, 1914.
MY DEAR HOUSE:
The English rulers have no feeling of vengeance. I have never seen the slightest traces of that. But they are determined to secure future safety. They will not have this experience repeated if they can help it. They realize now that they have been living under a sort of fear--or dread--for ten years: they sometimes felt that it was bound to come some time and then at other times they could hardly believe it. And they will spend all the men and all the money they have rather than suffer that fear again or have that danger. Now, if anybody could fix a basis for the complete restoration of Belgium, so far as restoration is possible, and for the elimination of militarism, I am sure the _English_ would talk on that basis. But there are two difficulties-Russia wouldn't talk till she has Constantinople, and I haven't found anybody who can say exactly what you mean by the ”elimination of militarism.”
Disarmament? England will have her navy to protect her incoming bread and meat. How, then, can she say to Germany, ”You can't have an army”?
You say the Americans are becoming ”restless.” The plain fact is that the English people, and especially the English military and naval people, don't care a fig what the Americans think and feel.
They say, ”We're fighting their battle, too--the battle of democracy and freedom from bureaucracy--why don't they come and help us in our life-and-death struggle?” I have a drawer full of letters saying this, not one of which I have ever answered. The official people never say that of course--nor the really responsible people, but a vast mult.i.tude of the public do. This feeling comes out even in the present military and naval rulers of this Kingdom--comes indirectly to me. A part of the public, then, and the military part of the Cabinet, don't longer care for American opinion and they resent even such a reference to peace as the President made in his Message to Congress[107]. But the civil part of the Cabinet and the responsible and better part of the public do care very much. The President's intimation about peace, however, got no real response here. They think he doesn't understand the meaning of the war. They don't want war; they are not a warlike people. They don't hate the Germans. There is no feeling of vengeance. They constantly say: ”Why do the Germans hate us? We don't hate them.” But, since Germany set out to rule the world and to conquer Great Britain, they say, ”We'll all die first.” That's ”all there is to it.” And they will all die unless they can so fix things that this war cannot be repeated. Lady K----, as kindly an old lady as ever lived, said to me the other day: ”A great honour has come to us. Our son has been killed in battle, fighting for the safety of England.”
Now, the question which n.o.body seems to be able to answer is this: How can the military party and the military spirit of Germany be prevented from continuing to prepare for the conquest of Great Britain and from going to work to try it again? That implies a change in the form, spirit, and control of the German Empire. If they keep up a great army, they will keep it up with that end more or less in view. If the military party keeps in power, they will try it again in twenty-five or forty years. This is all that the English care about or think about.
They don't see how it is to be done themselves. All they see yet is that they must show the Germans that they can't whip Great Britain.
If England wins decisively the English hope that somehow the military party will be overthrown in Germany and that the Germans, under peaceful leaders.h.i.+p, will go about their business--industrial, political, educational, etc.--and quit dreaming of and planning for universal empire and quit maintaining a great war-machine, which at some time, for some reason, must attack somebody to justify its existence. This makes it difficult for the English to make overtures to or to receive overtures from this military war-party which now _is_ Germany. But, if it he possible so completely to whip the war party that it will somehow be thrown out of power at home--that's the only way they now see out of it. To patch up a peace, leaving the German war party in power, they think, would be only to invite another war.
If you can get over this point, you can bring the English around in ten minutes. But they are not going to take any chances on it. Read English history and English literature about the Spanish Armada or about Napoleon. They are acting those same scenes over again, having the same emotions, the same purpose: n.o.body must invade or threaten England. ”If they do, we'll spend the last man and the last s.h.i.+lling. We value,” they say truly, ”the good-will and the friends.h.i.+p of the United States more than we value anything except our own freedom, but we'll risk even that rather than admit copper to Germany, because every pound of copper prolongs the war.”
There you are. I've blinked myself blind and talked myself hoa.r.s.e to men in authority--from Grey down--to see a way out--without keeping this intolerable slaughter up to the end. But they stand just where I tell you.
And the horror of it no man knows. The news is suppressed. Even those who see it and know it do not realize it. Four of the crack regiments of this kingdom--regiments that contained the flower of the land and to which it was a distinction to belong--have been practically annihilated, one or two of them annihilated twice. Yet their ranks are filled up and you never hear a murmur. Presently it'll be true that hardly a t.i.tle or an estate in England will go to its natural heir--the heir has been killed. Yet, not a murmur; for England is threatened with invasion. They'll all die first. It will presently be true that more men will have been killed in this war than were killed before in all the organized wars since the Christian era began. The English are willing and eager to stop it if things can be so fixed that there will be no military power in Europe that wishes or prepares to attack and invade England.
I've had many one-hour, two-hour, three-hour talks with Sir Edward Grey. He sees nothing further than I have written. He says to me often that if the United States could see its way to cease to protest against stopping war materials from getting into Germany, they could end the war more quickly--all this, of course, informally; and I say to him that the United States will consider any proposal you will make that does not infringe on a strict neutrality. Violate a rigid neutrality we will not do. And, of course, he does not ask that. I give him more trouble than all the other neutral Powers combined; they all say this. And, on the other side, his war-lord a.s.sociates in the Cabinet make his way hard.
So it goes--G.o.d bless us, it's awful. I never get away from it--war, war, war every waking minute, and the worry of it; and I see no near end of it. I've had only one thoroughly satisfactory experience in a c.o.o.n's age, and this was this: Two American s.h.i.+ps were stopped the other day at Falmouth. I telegraphed the captains to come here to see me. I got the facts from them--all the facts. I telephoned Sir Edward that I wished to see him at once. I had him call in one of his s.h.i.+p-detaining committee. I put the facts on the table. I said, ”By what right, or theory of right, or on what excuse, are those s.h.i.+ps stopped? They are engaged in neutral commerce. They fly the American flag.” One of them was released that night--no more questions asked. The other was allowed to go after giving bond to return a lot of kerosene which was loaded at the bottom of the s.h.i.+p.
If I could get facts, I could do many things. The State Department telegraphs me merely what the s.h.i.+pper says--a partial statement.
The British Government tells me (after infinite delay) another set of facts. The British Government says, ”We're sorry, but the Prize Court must decide.” Our Government wires a dissertation on International Law--Protest, protest: (I've done nothing else since the world began!) One hour with a sensible s.h.i.+p captain does more than a month of cross-wrangling with Government Departments.
I am trying my best, G.o.d knows, to keep the way as smooth as possible; but neither government helps me. Our Government merely sends the s.h.i.+pper's ex-parte statement. This Government uses the Navy's excuse. . . .
At present, I can't for the life of me see a way to peace, for the one reason I have told you. The Germans wish to whip England, to invade England. They started with their army toward England. Till that happened England didn't have an army. But I see no human power that can give the English now what they are determined to have--safety for the future--till some radical change is made in the German system so that they will no longer have a war-party any more than England has a war-party. England surely has no wish to make conquest of Germany. If Germany will show that she has no wish to make conquest of England, the war would end to-morrow.
What impresses me through it all is the backwardness of all the Old World in realizing the true aims of government and the true methods. I can't see why any man who has hope for the progress of mankind should care to live anywhere in Europe. To me it is all infinitely sad. This dreadful war is a logical outcome of their condition, their thought, their backwardness. I think I shall never care to see the continent again, which of course is committing suicide and bankruptcy. When my natural term of service is done here, I shall go home with more joy than you can imagine. That's the only home for a man who wishes his horizon to continue to grow wider.
All this for you and me only--n.o.body else.
Heartily yours, WALTER H. PAGE.
Probably Page thought that this statement of the case--and it was certainly a masterly statement--would end any attempt to get what he regarded as an unsatisfactory and dangerous peace. But President Wilson could not be deterred from pressing the issue. His conviction was firm that this winter of 1914-1915 represented the most opportune time to bring the warring nations to terms, and it was a conviction from which he never departed. After the sinking of the _Lusitania_ the Administration gazed back regretfully at its frustrated attempts of the preceding winter, and it was inclined to place the responsibility for this failure upon Great Britain and France. ”The President's judgment,”
wrote Colonel House on August 4, 1915, three months after the _Lusitania_ went down, ”was that last autumn was the time to discuss peace parleys, and we both saw present possibilities. War is a great gamble at best, and there was too much at stake in this one to take chances. I believe if one could have started peace parleys in November, we could have forced the evacuation of both France and Belgium, and finally forced a peace which would have eliminated militarism on land and sea. The wishes of the Allies were heeded with the result that the war has now fastened itself upon the vitals of Europe and what the end may be is beyond the knowledge of man.”
This shows that the efforts which the Administration was making were not casual or faint-hearted, but that they represented a most serious determination to bring hostilities to an end. This letter and the correspondence which now took place with Page also indicate the general terms upon which the Wilson Administration believed that the mighty differences could be composed. The ideas which Colonel House now set forth were probably more the President's than his own; he was merely the intermediary in their transmission. They emphasized Mr. Wilson's conviction that a decisive victory on either side would be a misfortune for mankind. As early as August, 1914, this was clearly the conviction that underlay all others in the President's interpretation of events.
His other basic idea was that militarism should come to an end ”on land and sea”; this could mean nothing except that Germany was expected to abandon its army and that Great Britain was to abandon its navy.
_From Edward M. House_ 115 East 53rd Street, New York City.
January 4th, 1915.
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